Bloomberg Carbon Risk Valuation Tool

Here we introduce a first-cut tool that helps illustrate the potential impact  of stranding on a company’s earnings and share price.

● Investors are trying to understand what the valuation impacts of stranded assets could be on their holdings and whether these are material risks or not.

● The Bloomberg Carbon Risk Valuation Tool (CRVT), available on the Bloomberg Professional Service at XLTP XCO2, offers a starting point to illustrate the potential impact on earnings and share price of companies, particularly those in extractive industries, under carbon pollution constraints.

● The tool offers five pre-built scenarios, plus the ability to adjust assumptions. The scenarios provide the ability to apply some of the ways in which stranded asset risks could manifest themselves. The five are:

o 5% annual decrease in oil prices starting from 2020 relative to the futures price;

o $50 a barrel for oil from 2020;

o $25 a barrel for oil from 2030;

o 80% decrease in EBIT fading in from 2020 and peaking in 2035: Prompt
Decarbonization; and

o 80% decrease in EBIT fading in from 2030 and peaking in 2035: Last-Ditch

● We hope the tool will illuminate further ways that can help our clients more efficiently meet established  and emerging  disclosure  requirements and  standards,   from  the  Asset  Owners  Disclosure   Project  through  to  the  Sustainability Accounting Standards Board.

● The CRVT is in its first iteration and we are seeking feedback from users so we can improve its functionality and take further steps towards the development of a decision-useful tool.

● In the longer term, as new data and methodologies  become available, our aspiration is to expand the tool beyond carbon, so that it incorporates other environment-related risks that could strand assets.

Download the report.

About BloombergNEF

BloombergNEF (BNEF) is a strategic research provider covering global commodity markets and the disruptive technologies driving the transition to a low-carbon economy. Our expert coverage assesses pathways for the power, transport, industry, buildings and agriculture sectors to adapt to the energy transition. We help commodity trading, corporate strategy, finance and policy professionals navigate change and generate opportunities.
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